Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic Morning Consult noted that before Kabul fell to the Taliban, Biden still had a net-positive approval rating of 51%. WebRCP Average: DeSantis +12.2 RCP Ranking: Leans GOP RCP Projection: GOP Hold Key 2022 Races: Senate | FL-23-----PAST KEY RACES-----2020: President | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-15 | FL Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 Many pundits assume that the two high profile Republican governors, Ron DeSantis in Florida and Greg Abbott in Texas, have set their sights on the presidency and hope to inherit the Trump mantle in the Republican presidential primaries if he doesnt run. WebRon DeSantis (R) Bio | Campaign Site Florida Snapshot RCP: Average: Gillum +3.6 RCP Ranking: Toss Up Key 2018 Races: Senate | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-16 | FL-18 | FL-25 FL-26 | FL WebRon DeSantis Kamala Harris Voting closed comments sorted by A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. Ron DeSantis approval rating is about the same as it was last year. Between late April 2020 when the pandemic was in full swing and September of this year, approval ratings among governors have dropped from an average of 64% to an average of 45%. underwhelming, but not **that** bad. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. Typically,GOP voters rally around their standard-bearerin the upper 80s. That certainly earned notice from Frieds campaign, but surrogates there said the poor overall assessment of DeSantis performance was the most critical data point in the poll. Kamala maybe? Montana, New York, Rhode Island, and Utah are excluded from these numbers because they changed governors during this period. A February-March poll by Saint Leo University gave a whopping 16-point advantage to DeSantis. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. DeSantis has the momentum and is playing a disciplined long game. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. Ron DeSantis has raised more than $100 million for his reelection effort. He is going to RUN AWAY with this election. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary matchup, DeSantis (48%) now leads Trump (40%) by 8 points. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. Your favorite tequila battle is back on 4/7/23! Its so bad here, today was the first day of school for us in Dade County, Im starting Sophomore year, and I have a runny nose, so I might have COVID. The state's previous highest daily toll of deaths was 272 on January 22. Penceis57 percentapproveto 29 percent disapprove among Republicans, very weak fora man with nearly total name recognition. Its our hope that this prompts him to follow the lead of Commissioner Fried and basically every doctor in the state in publicly, repeatedly calling for Floridians to get vaccinated and to end his defunding of schools.. The veteran GOP operative was the pollster for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and is a long-time friend of Trump allies Roger Stone and Paul Manafort, both of whom have been pardoned by Trump. Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. Polling numbers are not the only problem for Trump. In a head-to-head with the Orlando Congresswoman, Rubio leads 55% to Demings 45%. Helags Trump nationally and inprimary polling. Thats a sizable surge in popularity for the governor, who trailed Trump 47%-40% in a Suffolk poll taken in January. Note: States identified in red with an R in parentheses have Republican governors; states in blue with a D in parentheses have Democratic governors. But his moderation has endeared him to voters in his home state of West Virginia: He has a +22 net approval rating in the R+36 state, for a chamber-leading PARS DeSantis' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. In fact, Biden has not seen an approval above water in any of the RCP polls includedin the average since mid-December. Florida Gov. Subscribe now to get the latest news delivered right to your inbox. The survey methodology notes that samples "drawn from a known registered voter list in FL.". WebAmong Democrats, President Bidens approval rating has fallen from 90% to 87% and from 16% to 11% with Republicans. Table #1: 10 states where governors have suffered the largest losses in approval ratings during the pandemic.[1]. Not a single poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher. This is the first public poll to list all of the candidates who are qualified for governor and US Senate on the Florida ballot. Its new record for most new cases reported in a single day occurred on August 10 with 56,610 newly reported cases. All rights reserved. Crist, a Democratic Congressman and former Republican Governorrunningfor his old job, leads 57% to DeSantis 43% in a head-to-head matchup. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. WebAccording to a survey conducted in January 2023, around 22 percent of Americans had a very unfavorable view of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, while 27 percent of Americans hold a "A survey of 1,200 registered Florida voters conducted in mid-May by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio and obtained by NBC News showed DeSantis earning 47 percent of the vote and his top Democratic rival, former Gov. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. Approval ticked down slightly from 25 percent to 24 percent. Click for more. Most of these governors have opposed masking, schools being shut down, quarantines, vaccine mandates, and tolerated anti-vaxxers. Most young women are not. Another poll, conducted by The Political Matrix/Listener Group, also showed Crist gaining an incremental advantage of 50.6 percent of the 714 respondents polled. Ron DeSantis leads former President Donald Trump among voters in their home state of Florida, according to the latest Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll of likely Florida midterm voters. While two recent polls have indeed shown a narrow lead for DeSantis's opponent Charlie Crist, it falls within the margin of error, while the reliability and scope of the polls also come into question. Trumps Covid leadership was a major cause of his election loss and the continuation of the pandemic is a big part of President Bidens recent decline in the polls. As of September 2, Florida is ranked 20th among U.S. states with the highest vaccination rates. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials Florida Gov. "BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis. DeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. DeSantis polls 58 percent approve to just 15 percent disapprove. Trump is down43 to 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with Hispanics, and at a deficit with seniors. I can't find anything on RCP about Harris' approval ratings, much to my surprise. A March 21 study from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) found that mask mandates led to "statistically significant decreases in county-level daily COVID-19 case and death growth rates." As the election for Governor of Florida draws closer, several prominent social media accounts have claimed that the incumbent Ron DeSantis may be facing a tougher challenge than anticipated, with recent polls allegedly tilting in favor of his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist from the 13th District. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. DeSantis has pledged to withhold the paycheck of district school board members and fine businesses $5,000 for their defiance. Fifty-one percent of Texas voters during that time approved of Abbotts performance. Ron DeSantis (R) remains the most formidable challenger to former President Trumps hopes of reclaiming the Republican presidential nomination Others, however, remained confident in DeSantis's win. Office of Public Affairs I mean arent both of there approval ratings dropping? Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. WebFlorida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried. He appears to be comfortably ahead of his Republican opponent and his approval ratings during the pandemic have dropped only 5 points. At first blush, the behavior of so many Republican governors seems self-destructive. YouGov has Trump down40 percent approve to 55 percent disapprove. "'Cases'as in positive tests with mild to no symptomsaren't the main concern," Pushaw told Newsweek. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Consult. Younger voters are poised to upend American politics. Please considermaking a one time or monthly donationto help support our staff. Two international studies have also determined that lockdowns potentially have saved millions of lives, Reuters reported on June 2020. ConsideringBidens polling nosedive and fumbling response to growing domestic problems, Trumps numbers are terrible. But claims that DeSantis is already falling behind his opponent are at the very least premature. As a result, Trump is offering noalternative to Biden, and the public wants neither of them. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. Normally, a28-point lead would be cause for celebration, but not for Trump. "Note that the data is from surveys of Registered voters and NOT likely voters. Nearly half of voters polled this month said they were worse off than they were four years ago. That is bad, but Trump is worse. By comparison, just 43% gave a favorable response of any sort, with 27% rating DeSantis leadership as very favorable. In this photo, DeSantis speaks during an event to give out bonuses to first responders held at the Grand Beach Hotel Surfside on August 10 in Surfside, Florida. Morning Consult found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, though approval has declined slightly. Since then, the state has broken that new record nine times. This Pulse poll of 800 likely voters in Florida has an accuracy of +/- 3.5% with a 95% level of confidence. Basically imo a blank face Democrat. Of note, the same poll shows Rubio winning his race against likely Democratic nomineeVal Demings, the most prominent Democrat challenging him. on I wrote in this space in May that aDeSantis-Tim Scottticket would beable to knock out Trump and be a favorite to wipe out any Democratic ticket in 2024. But in some states, the drop has been well above the national average. GOP Candidate: Ron DeSantis (Incumbent) Dem Candidates: Charlie Crist, Nikki Fried, Annette Taddeo, David Nelson Freeman. Now everyone has seen the Trump show. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. WebOf all the elected officials mentioned in the survey, DeSantis has the highest job approval rating at 58%. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. In part, this was because Trumps leadership was so confusing and chaotic that governors had no alternative but to step into the breach. Only Pence is competitive, but that is a bit generous. "If you look at all the different policy responses around the world since the start of the pandemic, there is no correlation between COVID prevalence andmask mandates, lockdowns, curfews, vaccine passportsor even vaccination rate.". The budget, DeSantis explained, continues our commitment to supporting the brave men and women in law enforcement, invests in our K-12 education for students and teachers, and preserves and protects Floridas natural resources all while maintaining record reserves and enacting the largest tax relief in state history: The state, he suggested, is forging ahead championing freedom first policies, despite the hardships rooted in Washington, DC, at the hands of the Biden administration. This would explain their hardline positions on Covid. [1] Data for Tables 1 and 2 comes from The Covid States Project Report #66: September 2021 update on executive approval, available at https://osf.io/dva5r/, governors would be the ones with the power. I predict at least a 30 point reelection for Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. Mon, Aug 23, 2021 at 5:55 pm. DeSantis favorable rating of 32% put him between two leading Democrats: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer at 31%, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi at 35%. This month, lets celebrate women like Marcy Kaptur, Feehery: Progressive DC government turning city into a dystopia, Budowsky: Mike Pence, democracy and the Republican Partys future, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything related to him: Peter Strzok. Florida Gov. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. and Newsweek has reached out to Crist for comment. So it is highly likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample," Fabrizio highlights in his response. Rubio has a slightly negative 41-44% favorability rating compared to Demings 33-22% favorability rating. BREAKING: Gov. He still has, as of September, a 60% approval rating as the Appendix shows. Biden is down to a RealClearPoliticsaverageof39.1 percentapproveand 56.4 percent disapprove. Fifty-four percent of Florida voters approved of DeSantiss job in office from June 22 to July 1. Similarly, 79 percent of Republican voters in Texas approve of Abbott, slightly down from 80 percent in July. When voters compared the former president against other political leaders, Trump garnered only a small lead in favorability ahead of Biden 47%-44%, also mirroring the January findings, and was ranked even more narrowly above Vice President Kamala Harris, leading 46%-44%. Fabrizio admits as much in responding to a Newsweek request for comment, in which he provided both the survey results for the poll mentioned above, as well as a more recent one. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". Governor Ron DeSantis had an approval rating of 50%, down from 58% in February of this year. A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. Most young women are not. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. COVID-19 is crushing red states. Meanwhile, among the 10 states where governors have lost the least, seven governors are Democrats and only 3 are Republicans. BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated. The battle has been highly publicized in recent weeks, with school districts and local governments taking on the governors as schools return for in-person learning. This statewide survey of 500 likely Florida voters was conducted September 15-18 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. Additionally, the methodology used also raises some questions: The poll didn't screen for likely voters, meaning that it does not factor in a potential turnout gap between Republicans and Democrats in the election. It isFlorida Gov. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. At the start of July, 72 percent of Democrats disapproved of his performance. Trump is trending down against DeSantison the national ballot and, for the first time, is losing in a state primary ballot test. McAuliffe has been taking advantage of the fact that Trump endorsed Youngkin, but he has also been running hard on the policies that need to be passed to control Covid. By the end of August, 51 percent disapproved. DeSantis has a 50-43% favorability rating, while Crist has a negative 34-39% favorability rating, with more than a quarter of voters either not knowing him or having no opinion about him. At least some of the claims around purported shifts in Florida's gubernatorial race appear to be referencing a private poll by Tony Fabrizio, a veteran GOP strategist and pollster. The subset of 163 likely 2024 Democratic Primary voters for president has a margin of error of +/-7.7 percentage points and the subset of 174 likely 2024 Republican Primary voters for president has a margin of error of +/-7.4 percentage points. As a result, his national numbers are not that great at face value. to the coronavirus outbreak. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials surveyed in a University of North Florida pollamid recent controversies, such as his ongoing spat with Disney. Youd have Rubio as the ranking Republican on the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, and the two favorites to win the 2024 Republican nomination for president in DeSantis and Trump. Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval ratings, telling the commander in chief to look in the mirror for once.. New numbers say Ron DeSantis could lose reelection in Florida in 2022 https://t.co/EO3zohCAyb. Pushaw's claim is incorrect. Every little bit helps. DeSantis would hold up better against Agriculture CommissionerNikki Fried, the other major Democratrunningfor Governor, but is still losing according to this poll. Press J to jump to the feed. Try looking in the mirror for once: Governor @RonDeSantisFL BLASTS Brandon for his abysmal approval ratings , "You want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? Ron DeSantis(R)who has all the momentum. Schools have reinstated mask mandates and businesses have required proof of vaccination despite his executive order and signed legislation banning both, respectively. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Its starting to look like DeSantis could do that on his own. The Supreme Court takes up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake? "The most important objective is to alleviate the risk of severe illness, particularly hospitalizations, from COVID-19.". The potential re-election of Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio would make the state of Florida ground zero for the national Republican Party, said Paleologos. Most young men are single. Recall that Trump won the GOP nominationby blitzing his opponents with a relatively shortcampaign; the Republican field was inexperiencednationally, had never seen anything like Trump and was always on the defensive. Our small but mighty team works tirelessly to bring you news on how coronavirus is affecting Tampa and surrounding areas. Based on a casual reading of the polls, Donald Trump looks to have smooth sailing to the Republican presidential nomination in 2024andthe chance to erase the stink of losing to Joe Bidenthathe so covets. Putting aside for the moment the fact that they are largely killing their own voters, Republican governors are suffering hits to their approval ratings, something no politician wants to see. Morning Consult surveyed 4,174 voters in Florida and 3,041 voters in Texas from Aug. 21 to 30, with margins of error from 1 to 3 percentage points.